The USD/JPY currency pair continues to move as part of its downward trend and has broken out of its bullish channel. At the time of publication of this forecast, the US Dollar to Japanese Yen exchange rate is 148.56. Moving averages indicate a short-term bullish trend for the pair. Prices are again testing the signal line area, indicating pressure from US Dollar buyers and potential continued price growth from current levels. The Japanese Yen exchange rate forecast for October 1, 2025, anticipates an attempt to continue the rally and a test of the resistance area near 149.05. Next, a downward price rebound and a continued decline in the USD/JPY pair below 146.85.
USD/JPY Forecast Japanese Yen for October 1, 2025
An additional signal favoring a decline in the USD/JPY currency pair will be a test of the resistance line on the relative strength indicator. A second signal will be a rebound from the lower boundary of the bullish channel. A strong rally and a breakout of 150.45 will cancel the downward trend in the USD/JPY pair. This will indicate a breakout of the resistance area and continued growth in the USD/JPY pair. In this case, we should expect a continued rise in the pair above 152.05. Confirmation of the price decline should be expected with a breakout of the support level and a consolidation below 148.05.
USD/JPY Forecast Japanese Yen for October 1, 2025 suggests an attempt at a bullish correction, testing the resistance zone near 149.05. Subsequently, the bearish momentum will continue to develop below 146.85. A test of the trendline on the relative strength indicator (RSI) would support a decline. A strong rally and a breakout of 150.45 would invalidate the bearish scenario. This would signal a breakout of the resistance level and a continued rally with a potential target above 152.05.
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