XAU/USD quotes continue to move as part of a correction and the formation of a Triangle pattern. At the time of this forecast’s publication, the gold price today is $4,834 per troy ounce. Moving averages indicate a short-term bullish trend. Prices have broken above the area between the signal lines, indicating upward pressure from asset buyers and potential continued growth from current levels. Currently, we expect an attempt to further weaken the gold price and a test of support near 4,750. From there, we expect an upward rebound and continued growth in the gold price, with a potential target above 5,135.
GOLD Forecast and XAU/USD Analysis for April 16, 2026
An additional signal favoring growth in XAU/USD quotes will be a test of the bullish trend line on the relative strength indicator (RSI). A second signal will be a rebound from the lower boundary of the Triangle pattern. The potential for gold price growth on April 16, 2026, will be cancelled if prices fall and break below 4605. This will indicate a breakout of the support area and a continued decline in the asset’s price below 4345. Expect an acceleration in XAU/USD price growth with a breakout of the resistance area and a price close above 4855, which will indicate a breakout of the upper boundary of the Triangle pattern and the beginning of the pattern’s implementation with targets above.
GOLD Forecast and XAU/USD Analysis for April 16, 2026 suggests an attempt at a bearish price correction and a test of the support area near 4750. Subsequently, base metal prices are expected to continue rising with a target above 5135. A decline in the market price and a breakout of 4605 would cancel out this upward price movement in gold. This would indicate a continued decline in gold prices with a potential target below 4345.

